New Delhi: As the date of the first phase polling for the electoral battle of 2019 is approaching fast, ABP News held a survey in the politically significant state of Uttar Pradesh to get an idea of how the different parties will fare in the state.


The BJP-led NDA is predicted to face a tough contest by the combined forces of Samajwadi Party and Bahujan Samajwadi Party in UP in the forthcoming Lok Sabha elections 2019. ABP News’ opinion poll predicted NDA slumping down to 36 seats this time, almost the half of seats they won in 2014 parliamentary elections - 73.

The SP-BSP-RLD alliance is predicted to win 42 out of the 80 seats, while the Indian National Congress is likely to send only two of its representatives to the Lok Sabha this time.

Ten seats, from Awadh, UP West and Purvanchal regions are projected to witness a very narrow contest that can prove decisive for both the NDA and the SP-BSP-RLD combine.

Gautam Buddh Nagar: While,  Gautam Buddh Nagar in projected to elect a new representative this time, as  the SP-BSP-RLD combine is likely to win with 40% votes. However, the BJP is trailing with 39% votes and a possibility of a change in the game cannot be ruled out.

Kheri: A neck and neck battle is expected here, with Mahagathbandhan surpassing the NDA by just 1% of votes.

Unnao: The NDA is projected to retain its seat by grabbing 40% of the votes share, while  38% of the votes are projected to go to Mahagathbandhan.

Sultanpur: While the NDA is likely to retain its seat with 46% votes in this parliamentary seat in Awadh region, the Mahagathbandhan almost nears the mark with 45% votes.

Bahraich: Mahagathbandhan is predicted to clinch the seat with 47% votes. However, NDA with 46% of vote share has the potential to alter the game here.

Kaiserganj: After a narrow contest, the NDA is predicted to win the seat with 45% votes, while the Mahagathbandhan is predicted to put up a tough fight grabbing 44% of the votes.

Gonda: After a tough battle with the Mahagathbandhan, the NDA is projected to retain the seat with 39% of votes, limiting the grand alliance not very far at 38%.

Ballia: The Mahagathbandhan is slated to win this Purvanchal seat by sweeping 39% of votes, while BJP-led NDA is not far behind with 38% of votes.

Machhlishahr: BJP is expected to retain Macchlishahr in Purvanchal with 45% vote share. However, the Mahagathbandhan is projected to win 44% seats.

Robertsganj: The neck and neck contest is predicted to result in NDA’s victory with 41% votes. The contest could be a near thing for the Mahagathbandhan which is slated to win 39% of the vote share.