ABP-CVoter Snap Poll: Will Israel-Hamas War Impact Assembly Polls? — Know What People Say

ABP-CVoter Opinion Poll: ABP and CVoter reached out to the voters to find out the impact of the Israel-Hamas war on the upcoming assembly elections. 

With the Election Commission's announcement of the polling schedule in five states amidst Israel Palestine conflict, ABP and CVoter reached out to the voters of three states — Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, and Rajasthan — to find out whether or not they feel the Israel-Hamas war will impact the upcoming assembly elections. 

The voting is scheduled to be held in Mizoram, Madhya Pradesh, and Chhattisgarh (Phase 1) on 7 November; Chhattisgarh Phase 2 on 17 November; Rajasthan on November 23; Telangana on November 30. The counting of votes will be conducted on 3 December.

In Madhya Pradesh, a total of 31.9 per cent of respondents believed that the Israel-Hamas war could become a factor in the upcoming polls and benefit the BJP, while 23.8 per cent voted that it would benefit the Congress. On the other hand, 33.4 per cent of respondents voted that the war would have no impact on the upcoming assembly polls in the state. 

In Rajasthan, 35 per cent of respondents opined that the Israel-Hamas war will have no impact in the upcoming polls. Meanwhile, 37.7 per cent said that the war will become a factor in the elections and will benefit BJP, followed by 17.2 per cent voting that it can favour Congress.

In Chhattisgarh, 37.7 per cent of respondents voted that the Israel-Hamas war will have no impact in the upcoming polls. On the other hand, 31.6 per cent voted that the war would become a factor in the elections and would benefit BJP, followed by 17.9 per cent voting that it can favour the Congress.

A week into the war, the Israel-Hamas conflict is nowhere near its end with the former declaring to move to the next stages in a bid to severely assault Hamas-occupying territories in the Gaza Strip. More than 3,000 people have died while thousands were injured after Israel intensified its attack on Gaza following Hamas' October 7 surprise attack.

[Disclaimer: This survey was based on CVoter personal interviews conducted among 2,649 adults across India. Sometimes the table figures do not sum to 100 due to the effects of rounding off. The margin of error is +/- 3% at the macro level and +/- 5% at the micro level. We believe this will give the closest possible resemblance to the trends.]