New Delhi: An opinion poll conducted by ABP-CVoter on Chhattisgarh Assembly polls is out on ABP Live. The opinion poll tried to gauge the mood of the state on pertinent questions on matters that would impact the voters' lives. 


According to the survey, the incumbent Chief Minister Bhupesh Baghel emerged as the most favored candidate for the top post, securing a significant lead of more than 25 percentage points over his BJP counterpart, Raman Singh.


While CM Baghel received the support of 48% of the participants, three-time CM Singh was backed by only 23% of the voters. Chhattisgarh Deputy CM T.S. Singh Deo, who lost the race for the top post to Baghel in the first term, came in third with the backing of just 19% of the respondents.


BJP's Ramesh Bias came in the fourth spot with only 1.2 % of the total votes polled in the survey.


The voter satisfaction level in the state regarding CM Baghel's performance was also positive. As many as 46% of the respondents said that they were "very much satisfied" with his work, while 31% said that they were "satisfied to some extent". The percentage of people saying that they were "not at all satisfied" with CM Baghel's performance was 19%, while 2% remained uncertain about their response.








Election to the 90-seat Chhattisgarh assembly is likely to take place later this year. Notably, BJP has already released its first list of 21 candidates. 


The party fielded Vijay Baghel, who is an MP from Durg, from Patan, where he will take on sitting chief minister Bhupesh Baghel.








Methodology


This poll is based on CVoter Pre-Poll personal interviews (Face to Face) conducted among 18+ adults statewide and represents all segments. 


Time frame: July 18 to August 19
MOE (Margin of Error) 
Sample Size of Opinion Poll: 7679 respondents 
LS Seats Covered – 11
VS Seats Covered – 90
MOE +/- 3% to +/- 5%
Confidence Level – 95%


Disclaimer: Current survey findings and projections are based on CVoter Pre Poll personal interviews (Face to Face) conducted among 18+ adults statewide, all confirmed voters, details of which are mentioned right below the projections as of today. The data is weighted to the known demographic profile of the States. Sometimes the table figures do not sum to 100 due to the effects of rounding. Our final data file has Socio-Economic profile within +/- 1% of the Demographic profile of the State. We believe this will give the closest possible trends. The sample spread is across all Assembly segments in the poll bound state. MoE is +/- 3% at macro level and +/- 5% at micro level VOTE SHARE projection with 95% Confidence interval.