NEW DELHI: The Narendra Modi-led NDA will return to power at the Centre in the 17th Lok Sabha but with fewer seats than what it bagged in the 2014 general elections, ceding some space to the opposition parties, an exit poll commission by ABP News-Neilsen has predicted. According to the survey, the saffron coalition will garner 277 seats this time, which is 59 seats less than what it got in 2014 but comfortably past the halfway mark of 272. The NDA won 336 in previous Lok Sabha polls, while the BJP, the coalition's prime constituent, managed 282 on its own.


Uttar Pradesh

The NDA is projected to face a major drubbing in Uttar Pradesh, which sends 80 members to the Lower House of the Parliament, at the hands of the SP-BSP grand alliance, of which Ajit Singh's RLD is also a part. The exit poll showed the 'mahagathbandhan' wresting a majority of seats from the BJP+ in UP where it had won 73 of the 80 seats. The survey predicted a huge loss for the NDA in the state, as it may get only 33 seats, while the opposition alliance may emerge victorious in 45 constituencies.

Uttarakhand

In Uttarakhand, the BJP is projected to win four seats in 2019. The Congress may wrest one seat from the saffron party in the hill state this time. In 2014, the BJP had won all five seats here.

Madhya Pradesh

The BJP is projected to attain the maximum number of seats in Madhya Pradesh that is 22 out of the 29 seats in the state. Though the party bagged more number of seats (27) in 2014.

Gujarat

Gujarat, the home state of Modi is all set to turn saffron again. According to the exit poll, the BJP is slated to get 24 seats in the western most state of India. In previous elections, BJP had won all 26 seats in Gujarat.

Rajasthan

The BJP is likely to get 19 out of 25 seats in Rajasthan, where the Congress wrested control in assembly elections, as per the exit poll. The BJP had won all 25 seats in 2014 in the desert state.

Karnataka

In Karnataka, the BJP is projected to win 15 out of total 28 seats. The party’s performance is likely to fall as per 2014 polls, where it won 17 seats.

Maharashtra

BJP’s performance in Maharashtra is also likely to leave a mark. As per the exit poll prediction, the BJP-Shiv Sena alliance is likely to bag 34 seats this time, whereas the last time they got 23 out of 48 seats, where Sena lone bagged 18 seats.

Bihar

The BJP is also likely to perform remarkably well in Bihar, winning all the 17 seats it's contesting in the state. The saffron party managed 22 seats fighting on its own in 2014. This time, the BJP and the JDU are contesting 17 seats each as per the pre-poll agreement under the NDA umbrella. The LJP, another NDA constituent, is contesting six seats.

Delhi

In the NCT of Delhi, the BJP is pegged to win five out of the seven Lok Sabha seats while the Congress and the ruling AAP may get one seat each. Here, the BJP had won all seven seats in 2014.

Chhattisgarh

In Chhattisgarh, the BJP may get six out of 11 seats while the Congress is likely to get the hold of remaining five. The BJP had won 10 seats in Chhattisgarh in 2014.

Andhra Pradesh

As per the survey, YSR Congress Party of YS Jaganmohan Reddy is likely to dominate Lok Sabha elections winning 20 out of 25 seats. Chief Minister Chandrababu Naidu's Telugu Desam Party is slated to get five seats. The national parties, the Congress and the BJP, may fail to even open their account. The BJP had won three seats in undivided Andhra Pradesh as a TDP-ally in 2014.

Other states where the BJP may suffer a jolt to its 2014 are: Jharkhand and Jammu and Kashmir.

ABP News Exit Poll - How does the overall scenario pan out

The gains in Bihar, Odisha and West Bengal states will help the BJP in making make up for what it lost in Uttar Pradesh and other states. The exit poll has found that the Congress has not benefited much from its assembly poll victories in three big Hindi heartland states of Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan and Chhattisgarh last December.

The general elections to 542 seats of the Lok Sabha ended Sunday. The majority mark is 272. The counting of votes will take place on May 23.