ABP-CVoter: Will Populist Schemes Help Congress? Survey Hint Tough Road Ahead For Gehlot

ABP-CVoter Survey: Populist schemes at times play a crucial role in deciding the future of contesting parties in an election. Will it benefit Congress in Rajasthan?

The state of Rajasthan is all set to face an intense poll battle at the end of this year with both BJP and Congress preparing to woo the voters. While Congress has the tough task to retain the government in power, Bharatiya Janta Party is looking to claim the throne in the state ahead of next year's Lok Sabha elections. With the stage set, ABP C-Voter Survey tried to understand how populist schemes by the CM Ashok Gehlot-led cabinet have fared and if they will let the Congress hold on to Rajasthan.

Nearly 50 per cent of the respondents were positive that providing cooking gas cylinders for Rs 500 to the beneficiaries of Ujjwala Yojana and BPL card holders will help the Congress party in the assembly elections. 42 per cent believed that the schemes will not do any good for the grand-old party while 8.4 per cent said that can't say anything about this.

As per the data, 49.5 per cent said that Congress will be benefitted from the Ujjawala and BPL Card policies while 42.1 per cent of the respondents surveyed remained negative.

When asked if the Congress party has turned the election mood in its favour with the help of populist schemes like health insurance, 100 units of free electricity and concession in buses, 46 per cent of respondents said 'Yes' while 45 per cent did not see these helping the Gehlot government at all.

While the outcomes of the survey in both the surveys favour the incumbent Rajasthan government, it is pertinent to see that the difference between the two opinions is not large enough and there might be a tough road ahead for the Congress party which is drawing flack from the BJP on a range of issues.

Methodology

This poll is based on CVoter Pre-Poll personal interviews (Face to Face) conducted among 18+ adults statewide and represents all segments. 

Time frame: 26th June - 25th July
MOE (Margin of Error) 
Sample Size of Opinion Poll (Seat Range and Vote Share - Rajasthan): 14085 respondents 
Sample Size of Snap Poll (Rajasthan): 1885
LS Seats Covered – 25
VS Seats Covered – 200
MOE +/- 3% to +/- 5%
Confidence Level – 95%

Disclaimer: [Current survey findings and projections are based on CVoter Pre Poll personal interviews (Face to Face) conducted among 18+ adults statewide, all confirmed voters, details of which are mentioned right below the projections as of today. The data is weighted to the known demographic profile of the States. Sometimes the table figures do not sum to 100 due to the effects of rounding. Our final data file has Socio-Economic profile within +/- 1% of the Demographic profile of the State. We believe this will give the closest possible trends. The sample spread is across all Assembly segments in the poll-bound state. MoE is +/- 3% at macro level and +/- 5% at micro level VOTE SHARE projection with 95% Confidence interval.