ABP News-CVoter Survey: BJP, Congress Neck And Neck With Hung Uttarakhand Assembly In Sight

ABP CVoter Survey Uttarakhand Election 2022: While the final result of the election will be announced on March 10, ABP News and CVoter conducted an opinion poll to get the pulse of the state.

ABP CVoter Survey for Uttarakhand Election 2022: As the poll-bound states move a step further to the assembly election, it will be interesting to see who wins the battle in Uttarakhand. The hill state has been shuffling power between BJP and Congress every year since the formation of the state. 

While the final result of the election will be announced on March 10, ABP News in association with CVoter conducted its opinion poll to get the pulse of the state ahead of the elections. 

Seat Projection — Uttarakhand Election 2022 | ABP News-CVoter Opinion Poll

As per the ABP-CVoter final opinion poll projections, out of Uttarakhand’s 70 seats, BJP might bag 31-37 seats, with Congress getting nearly 30-36 seats. Though the AAP has just made its debut in the state, it may bag 2-4 seats.

 

The ABP News & CVoter also did a region-wise survey which has given an interesting outcome of opinion polls. In the Kumaon region, INC seems to be in the lead with a projected number of 9-15 seats, followed closely by BJP with 7-11 seats. AAP does not seem to be having any ground in Kumaon. 

While BJP and Congress seem to be head-to-head in Kumaon, In the Garhwal region,  BJP looks to be leading with 17-21 seats in the ABP-CVoter’s final opinion poll. INC may bag only 8-14 seats with AAP hardly opening its account.

However, the Tarai region or plains may make AAP the kingmaker as INC seems to be leading with 10-16 seats. The BJP might only bag 4-8 seats, while AAP looks to settle with 2-3 seats. 

Vote Share% — Uttarakhand Election 2022 | ABP News-CVoter Opinion Poll

It makes Aam Aadmi Party an interesting variable considering that BJP is likely to get an overall vote share of 42.6% with INC possibly bagging 40.6% and AAP likely to be holding a 13% share.

The BJP is fighting the election projecting a younger face in Pushkar Singh Dhami, opposed to Congress which is pinning its hopes on the veteran leader and former CM Harish Rawat. 

What is interesting to see is whether the Aam Aadmi Party will emerge as a kingmaker in case of a fractured mandate or will the old guards, the BJP, and the Congress sweep the elections in the state to return to power.

The BJP had won the 2017 election with 57 seats, the highest number any party could reach since the formation of the state in 2001. The tenure of the Uttarakhand assembly is ending on March 23, and the result of the assembly elections will be announced on March 10.

Disclaimer: The present opinion poll/ survey was conducted by CVoter. The methodology used is CATI interviews of adult (18+) respondents with random numbers drawn from standard RDD and the sample size for the same is 136579 across 5 states (UP, Uttarakhand, Punjab, Goa and Manipur) & the survey was carried out during the period 11th January 2022 to 6th February 2022. The same is also expected to have a margin of error of ±3 to ±5% and may not necessarily have factored in all criteria.