The northeastern state of Assam holds the key for all political parties in the run-up to the Lok Sabha elections. As parties gear up for a fierce contest in the upcoming polls, ABP News, in association with CVoter, conducted an opinion poll in Assam to project a rough picture of the mind of the public in the state.


According to the survey, the Bharatiya Janata Party-led NDA alliance is likely to dominate the state, winning 12 out of 14 Lok Sabha seats, and the I.N.D.I.A. alliance, a bloc of opposition parties, is predicted to get a mere 2 seats. A glance at the vote share in the state as per the survey shows that the NDA is likely to get 45 per cent votes, I.N.D.I.A bloc is predicted to get 38 per cent while 13 per cent is likely to go to the AIUDF.


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Last week, Prime Minister Narendra Modi visited Assam, where he inaugurated and laid the foundation stones for projects worth Rs 18,000 crore. In the 2021 Assam Assembly election, the  BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) retained power with 75 seats and became the first non-INC alliance to win a second consecutive term in the state.


[Disclaimer: Current survey findings and projections are based on CVoter Opinion Poll Computer Assisted Telephone Interview (CATI) conducted among 41,762 adults, all confirmed voters. The surveys were conducted from February 1 to March 10, 2024. The data is weighted to the known demographic profile of the States. Sometimes the table figures do not sum to 100 due to the effects of rounding. The final data has socio-economic profiles within +/- 1% of the demographic profile of the states. We believe this will give the closest possible trends. The sample spread is across all 543 electoral constituencies in the country. The margin of error is +/- 5% and the vote share projections have been done with 95% confidence interval.]