ABP-CVoter Opinion Poll: Jammu and Kashmir is heading for its first Lok Sabha Elections post-Aborgation of Article 370 in the Union Territory. In order to gauge the mood of the Union Territory ahead of the crucial elections, ABP News in association with CVoters conducted an opinion poll.
The ABP-CVoter Survey predicted that the UPA is expected to win three seats in the UT while the BJP-led NDA is likely to get two seats. The National Conference is expected to get three seats while the BJP is predicted to get two seats in the UT.
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The UPA is expected to get 44.9 percent votes while the NDA is likely to get 47 percent of the votes. Meanwhile, Mehbooba Mufti's PDP is predicted to get 7 percent of the votes.
In the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, both the NDA and the Jammu and Kashmir National Conference secured three seats respectively.
Jammu & Kashmir is represented by 5 six seats in the Lok Sabha. Earlier, Ladakh was also considered one of the constituencies of J&K until it was separated into a Union territory in 2019.
Baramulla, Srinagar, Anantnag, Udhampur and Jammu are the 5 constituencies in the state. BJP, Congress, Jammu and Kashmir National Conference (JKNC), Jammu and Kashmir People's Democratic Party (JKPDP), Jammu and Kashmir People's Conference (JKPC) are some of the major political parties that contest to win a seat from the state.
(Disclaimer: Current survey findings and projections are based on CVoter Opinion Poll CATI interviews (Computer Assisted Telephone Interviewing) conducted among 18+ adults statewide, all confirmed voters, details of which are mentioned right below the projections as of today. The data is weighted to the known demographic profile of the States. Sometimes the table figures do not sum to 100 due to the effects of rounding. Our final data file has Socio-Economic profile within +/- 1% of the Demographic profile of the State. We believe this will give the closest possible trends. The sample spread is across all Assembly segments in the poll bound state. MoE is +/- 3% at macro level and +/- 5% at micro level VOTE SHARE projection with 95% Confidence interval.)