Will BJP's Alliance With JD(S) In Karnataka Boost Its 2024 LS Poll Prospects? ABP-CVoter Survey Finds Out

ABP News in association with CVoter conducted an opinion poll to know what voters think about how much benefit BJP will get in Karnataka in forming an alliance with JDS.

The end of assembly elections in the five states sounded the trumpet for the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, with all parties preparing for the ultimate contest. While the Bharatiya Janata Party-led National Democratic Alliance seeks a third straight term, the Opposition parties have banded together to challenge the BJP in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections. 

In order to gather strength ahead of the upcoming polls, BJP is also making every possible effort to expand its clan. Earlier in September this year, former Prime Minister HD Deve Gowda's party Janata Dal (Secular) has become a part of the National Democratic Alliance. The BJP and JD (S) have historically had a strong base of support among Lingayats and Vokkaligas, respectively. Karnataka's two numerically prominent social groups are the Lingayats and Vokkaligas, which in turn can help BJP in the upcoming elections. 

With political temperatures soaring high amid the winters of December, ABP News in association with CVoter conducted an opinion poll to know what voters think about how much benefit BJP will get in Karnataka in forming an alliance with JDS.

The survey of 13,115 people included voters of all ages, education levels, income levels, and social backgrounds. 

According to the survey, a total of 42.1 per cent of respondents think that the alliance will benefit BJP in upcoming elections, while 36.8 per cent thinks that it will not help the saffron party. Meanwhile, 21.2 per cent of the voters were not sure or did not know whether the alliance would help BJP in the general elections. 

ABP-CVoter Opinion Poll: Karnataka Survey Analysis Based On Education Groups

Notably, as many as 46.3 per cent of the Higher Education group believed the BJP will have an advantage with its alliance with JDS, while 39.5 per cent think it will have no impact in upcoming polls, and 14.2 per cent were not sure or did not know the impact of the alliance. 45.4 per cent of people belonging to the Middle Education group were in favour of the alliance bringing positive impact for BJP in upcoming polls, while 34.8 per cent think it will have no impact in upcoming polls, and 19.8 per cent were not sure or did not know the impact of the alliance.

In Lower Education group, a total of 42.1 of respondents believed that the BJP will have an advantage in the general polls by partnering up with JDS, while 36.8 per cent think it will have no impact in upcoming polls, and 21.2 per cent were not sure or did not know the impact of the alliance.

[Disclaimer: Current survey findings and projections are based on CVoter Opinion Poll CATI interviews (Computer Assisted Telephone Interviewing) conducted among 18+ adults statewide, all confirmed voters, details of which are mentioned right below the projections as of today. The data is weighted to the known demographic profile of the States. Sometimes the table figures do not sum to 100 due to the effects of rounding. Our final data file has Socio-Economic profile within +/- 1% of the Demographic profile of the State. We believe this will give the closest possible trends. The sample spread is across all Assembly segments in the poll bound state. MoE is +/- 3% at macro level and +/- 5% at micro level Vote Share projection with 95% Confidence interval.]