Telangana Exit Polls: Congress Edges Past BRS In ABP-CVoter Survey, BJP Drags Far Behind

The ABP-CVoter exit poll for Telangana signals a commanding performance by Congress, positioning itself to claim the top seat share and approaching the majority mark, surpassing ruling BRS and BJP.

In a display of civic participation, voters across Telangana queued up in large numbers to cast their ballots, determining the fate of nearly 2,500 MLA aspirants vying for seats in the 119 Assembly segments. The culmination of the Telangana Assembly elections on Thursday witnessed extensive campaigning by prominent leaders, including Prime Minister Modi, Home Minister Amit Shah, and Congress leaders Rahul Gandhi, Priyanka Gandhi, and Mallikarjun Kharge.

As the people of Telangana await the outcome of the assembly elections, the latest ABP-CVoter exit poll survey points towards a significant political shift. The data reveals that Congress is poised to secure the leading position in seat share, surpassing both the ruling Bharat Rashtra Samithi (BRS) and the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), and nearing the majority mark in the youngest state of the country.

ABP C-Voter Survey Findings For Telangana: 

According to the exit poll data, Congress is poised for a significant surge, with a remarkable increase from 19 to 57 seats and a commendable swing of +12.4% in votes. Conversely, the ruling party, BRS, faces a setback with a swing of -8.1%, resulting in a decline from 88 to 46 seats in the ABP C-Voter Survey.

Despite Prime Minister Modi's mega rallies and massive campaigning by top BJP leaders, including several union ministers, the BJP is expected to fall far behind in the race. However, given its track record in the state, the ruling party is expected to see an increase in both votes and seats, with an increase from 1 to 9 seats and a +9.0%. 

The "Others" category, which includes parties like AIMIM with a 2.5% vote share, experiences a notable decline in both votes and seats, with a swing of -13.3% and a decrease from 11 to 7 seats, portraying a challenging electoral landscape for these parties.

The ABP C-Voter Survey findings for the month of November had previously indicated the possibility of the dominance of the grand old party in the political battle field of Telangana. Read the full report here.  

The BRS aims to continue its winning streak since 2014, while Congress vigorously contests to secure victory after facing defeat in 2018. Simultaneously, the BJP is making a strong bid to secure power for the first time in the southern state.

The incumbent BRS has fielded candidates for all 119 seats, while the BJP and Pawan Kalyan's Jana Sena are contesting on 111 and 8 seats, respectively, based on a seat-sharing agreement.

The Congress has nominated candidates for 118 seats and allocated one seat to its ally, the Communist Party of India. Meanwhile, the All India Majlis-e-Ittehadul Muslimeen, led by Asaduddin Owaisi, has candidates in nine segments in Hyderabad.

CM KCR is contesting from two segments, Gajwel and Kamareddy. Congress has fielded its state president Revanth Reddy in Kamareddy, while BJP has fielded election campaign chairman Eatala Rajender in Gajwel.

Over 3.26 crore voters participated in the election across all 119 constituencies, with 1,62,98,418 men, 1,63,01,705 women, and 2,676 transpersons. Additionally, 15,406 service voters and 2,944 NRI voters contributed to the electoral process, with 9,99,667 voters in the 18-19 age group. To ensure a smooth electoral process, the state established 35,655 polling stations, supported by a substantial workforce of over 2 lakh personnel, including 22,000 micro-observers, closely monitoring the election proceedings.

[Disclaimer: Current survey findings and projections are based on CVoter Exit Poll / Post Poll personal interviews conducted on pollling day and after polling day among 18+ adults statewide, all confirmed voters, details of which are mentioned right below the projections as of today. The data is weighted to the known demographic profile of the States. Sometimes the table figures do not sum to 100 due to the effects of rounding. Our final data file has Socio-Economic profile within +/- 1% of the Demographic profile of the State. We believe this will give the closest possible trends. The sample spread is across all Assembly segments in the poll bound state. MoE is +/- 3% at macro level and +/- 5% at micro level VOTE SHARE projection with 95% Confidence interval.]