ABP Cvoter Survey for Uttarakhand Election 2022: The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) looks comfortable as it completes five years of governance in Uttarakhand even as it witnessed a major overhaul with three different chief ministers taking charge in the past less than one year.
As polls are due early next year, it is to be seen whether all the changes will translate into a solid comeback for the BJP in Uttarakhand.
To understand the mood of the voters, ABP News and CVoter conducted a survey ahead of the much-awaited electoral battle.
The BJP-led alliance had won 57 seats in the 2017 assembly polls, while Congress-plus had managed to win just 11 seats.
In the 2022 assembly polls, the survey findings show, the Congress is emerging as a tough contender against the BJP in Uttarakhand, though it is falling short of the numbers required to wrest the state.
ABP Cvoter Uttarakhand Election 2022 - Seat Projection
According to the ABP-CVoter survey, the BJP-led alliance is likely to get 36-40 seats in the 70-member Uttarakhand Assembly. The Congress-led alliance is likely to make gains this time as the survey suggests the grand old party will win 30 to 34 seats.
The Aam Aadmi Party (AAP), which will make its electoral debut in the hill state, is expected to win just 0-2 seats, while the others are projected to bag just 0-1 seat, as per the survey.
ABP - Cvoter 2022 Election Survey: BJP Yet Again In The Driver’s Seat In Uttarakhand
The BJP-led alliance is likely to get 41.4% of the votes this time, which is a decline as it bagged 46.5% of votes in the last elections.
The Congress-led alliance, meanwhile, is expected to get 36.3% of votes in next year’s assembly elections. This is a gain for them as the alliance got 33.5% of the votes the last time.
The debutant AAP, as per the survey, is expected to get 11.8% of the votes. While the 'others' 20% of the votes in the last elections, they expected to receive just 10.5% of votes this time.
DISCLAIMER: The present opinion poll/ survey was conducted by CVoter. The methodology used is CATI interviews of adult (18+) respondents with random numbers drawn from standard RDD and the sample size for the same is 107000+ across 5 states (UP, Uttarakhand, Punjab, Goa, and Manipur) & the survey was carried out during the period 9th October 2021 to 11th November 2021. The same is also expected to have a margin of error of ±3 to ±5% and may not necessarily have factored in all criteria.