ABP-CVoter Exit Poll 2022: Polling in the seventh and final phase of Uttar Pradesh Legislative Assembly concluded on Monday. The state has 403 Assembly seats and the results of the elections will be declared on March 10.
All eyes are on whether the BJP, led by Chief Minister Yogi Adityanath, would break the 35-year-old jinx in Uttar Pradesh and come back for a second term. Many see the 2022 UP elections as a semi-final to the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, and a win this time will give a big fillip to the BJP's prospects.
Being the largest legislative assembly in India, the state of Uttar Pradesh can also be microscopically divided region-wise, geopolitical pockets, and socio-economic affiliations.
To understand the regional permutations and combinations and how the voters went ahead in the UP assembly election 2022, ABP News and CVoter bring you the most accurate Exit Poll.
In the Avadh region, which has 118 seats, BJP is expected to win 77-81 seats while the Samajwadi Party alliance is likely to bag 33-37 seats.
In the Bundelkhand region, which has 19 seats, BJP is expected to win 14-18 seats while the Samajwadi Party alliance is likely to bag anywhere between 0-4 seats.
In the Poorvanchal region, which has 130 seats, BJP is expected to win 70-74 seats while the Samajwadi Party alliance is likely to secure anywhere between 40-44 seats.
In the keenly watched Western UP region, which saw widespread farmer protests, BJP is expected to win 67-71 seats while the Samajwadi Party alliance is likely to secure anywhere between 59-63 seats.
With CM Yogi Adityanath and PM Modi at the front, BJP, with alliance partners Apna Dal (Sonelal) and Nishad Party, are up against the recently formed alliance in the 2022 UP assembly election of SP and RLD. Akhilesh Yadav's SP also enjoys backing from Suheldev Bharatiya Samaj Party, Apna Dal (Kamerawadi), Pragatisheel Samajwadi Party (Lohiya), Mahan Dal, and Nationalist Congress Party for UP election 2022. Congress, BSP, and AIMIM are also contenders which can flip the assembly seats in their favour given the region.
WATCH FULL COVERAGE OF ASSEMBLY ELECTION 2022 ON ABP LIVE
UP Assembly Election 2020 | Region/Phase Wise Data
UP Assembly Election 2017 | Region Wise Data
| Region | Seats | BJP | SP | BSP | AD-S | Congress | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eastern | 102 | 69 | 13 | 08 | 05 | 01 | |||||
| Bundelkhand | 19 | 19 | 00 | 00 | 00 | 0 | |||||
| Central | 64 | 45 | 08 | 02 | 04 | 02 | |||||
| Avadh | 90 | 75 | 09 | 06 | 00 | 00 | |||||
| Ruhelkhand | 52 | 38 | 14 | 00 | 00 | 00 | |||||
| Western | 76 | 66 | 04 | 03 | 00 | 02 | |||||
| Total Seats | 403 | 312 | 47 | 19 | 09 | 07 | |||||
Data source, tabulation, and chart courtesy: Wikipedia
[Disclaimer: The current survey findings and projections are based on ABP News C-Voter Exit Poll/Post Poll personal interviews conducted on polling day and after polling day among 18+ adults statewide. The sample size was 1.04 lakh in Uttar Pradesh, 17,480 for Uttarakhand, 16,533 for Punjab, 5,502 for Goa and 5,269 for Manipur. The projection comes with 95 per cent Confidence interval.]