In a survey conducted before the Pulwama attack, the BJP was securing 45 per cent vote share, the AAP 23 per cent and the Congress 25.5 per cent. The saffron party has gained two per cent vote share after the February 14 terror strike.
Though the Congress has announced that it will not form an alliance with the AAP for the Lok Sabha elections in Delhi, the survey suggested that the AAP-Congress combine may win three out of that seven seats if the two parties decide to come together. The BJP, in this scenario, will bag four seats.
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While the survey for the Lok Sabha elections showed a BJP victory on all the seven seats, the opinion poll for the Assembly elections suggested that the Arvind Kejriwal-led AAP dispensation will come to power for the second term but will suffer a huge loss to its seat tally.
The AAP will get 39 seats with 42 per cent vote share if Assembly elections were held today, the survey revealed. The AAP had stormed to a spectacular victory in 2015 by winning 67 of the 70 seats with a vote share of 54 per cent. The BJP will increase its tally from three to 26 with 37 per cent vote share and the Congress from zero to five with 11 per cent vote share.
In 2014, the BJP swept the Lok Sabha elections in the national capital with the party candidates registering victory with handsome margins in all the seven parliamentary constituencies. In 2009, the Congress made it a clean sweep in Delhi winning all the seven seats.