Mizoram Exit Poll Result 2023: Zoramthanga's MNF May Fall Short Of Majority, Predicts ABP-CVoter Survey

The hill state is expected to witness a three-way battle between the MNF, the main opposition Zoram People’s Movement (ZPM), and the Congress.

New Delhi: Zoramthanga-led Mizo National Front (MNF) may fall short of a majority but still emerge as the largest party in Mizoram, according to ABP-CVoter exit poll. Mizoram, which has been ruled by MNF since 2018, went to polls on November 7.

The hill state is expected to witness a three-way battle between the MNF, the main opposition Zoram People’s Movement (ZPM), and the Congress, even though the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) was in the fray.

The ABP-CVoter exit poll has predicted that MNF, which is the largest party in the hill state, is likely to get anywhere between 15 to 21 seats. Regional party ZMP is predicted to get 12 to 18 seats, while the  Congress is projected to get 2 to 8 seats. 

The BJP, which has a marginal presence in the northeastern state, is likely to win 0 to 5 seats.

The Mizoram Election 2023 witnessed a substantial 77 percent voter turnout, as citizens cast their ballots for the 40 assembly seats on November 7. The counting of votes will take place on December 3.

Besides employment and other issues, the ethnic conflict between Metei's and Kuki's in neighboring Manipur also dominated the poll campaign in Mizoram.

MNF, ZPM, and Congress have fielded candidates in 40 seats each, while the Aam Aadmi Party is contesting four seats and 27 independent candidates are also in the fray.

The BJP has fielded candidates in 23 seats with a special focus on linguistic minority inhabited areas, especially where the Reang and Chakma tribal communities are in reasonable numbers in the voters' list.

ABP-CVoter Mizoram: Opinion Poll Results 2023

ABP News-CVoter Opinion Poll hinted towards a hung assembly as no party appeared to be securing a clear majority on its own. The ruling MNF was projected to win 13 to 17 seats, INC could win 10 to 14 seats, ZPM 9 to 13 seats, and Others 1 to 3 seats.

In the 2018 polls, the MNF had won 26 of the 40 seats, securing two more in subsequent bypolls, while the opposition ZPM had won eight constituencies, relegating Congress, which had bagged five assembly segments, to third place. The BJP had opened its account in the Christian-majority state, winning one seat.

[Current survey findings and projections are based on CVoter Exit Poll / Post Poll personal interviews conducted on pollling day and after polling day among 18+ adults statewide, all confirmed voters, details of which are mentioned right below the projections as of today. The data is weighted to the known demographic profile of the States. Sometimes the table figures do not sum to 100 due to the effects of rounding. Our final data file has Socio-Economic profile within +/- 1% of the Demographic profile of the State. We believe this will give the closest possible trends. The sample spread is across all Assembly segments in the poll bound state. MoE is +/- 3% at macro level and +/- 5% at micro level VOTE SHARE projection with 95% Confidence interval.]