ABP-CVoter Exit Poll: Himanta's Hindutva Push In Assam Enough To Help NDA Sail Through Northeast?

ABP-CVoter exit poll survey: Will Himanta Biswa Sarma's political manoeuvres and stitching of new alliances over the past 5 years be enough to help the NDA dominate the Northeast? Find out here

ABP-CVoter Exit Polls: Assam CM Himanta Biswa Sarma's Hindutva plank seems to have resonated with the voters in the state leading the BJP and its allies towards a majority. His political moves over the past few years and bringing in top Congress leaders into the BJP even right before the Lok Sabha elections 2024 are likely to have buoyed the to repeat the results of 2019. Find out below how the NDA and the Opposition are likely to fare in the June 4 results. 

However, the ABP-CVoter exit poll survey shows the NDA's tally come down marginally from its 2019 score.

NDA vs UPA In 2019

The BJP-led NDA in Assam won 9 seats in seats. But all the 9 seats were won by the BJP. Its allies AGP and the BPF drew nil among them on the 4 seats they contested. The UPA on the other hand, managed to rake in 3 seats, with the Congress taking taking them all. Badrudddin Ajmal's AIUDF managed to retain the Dhubri seat, while one seat was won by an independent.

The lone seat in Sikkim went to the SKM. In Tripura and Arunachal, which have 2 seats each, BJP was triumphant, bagging all 4. In Meghalaya, the Congress won 1 seat, while the NPP secured the other. Manipur elected one MP from the NPF and another from the BJP. NDPP bagged the lone Nagaland Lok Sabha seat.

ABP-CVoter Exit Poll Result Prediction 2024

In Meghalaya, I.N.D.I.A is likely to score on 0-1 seat, while the NDA could bag 1-2 seats. The Nagaland verdict could be split in favour of either. The BJP is likely to repeat the 2019 results in Arunachal and Tripura, with the ABP-CVoter exit poll survey predicting a clean sweep of all 4 seats in its favour.

In Mizoram, the BJP could get the lone seat or it could go to Others. The Opposition is unlikely to get the seat.

The BJP's prospects in violence-hit Manipur are unlikely to be hurt too much with the saffron party poised for a win in at least one of the seats, according to the ABP-CVoter exit poll survey. The Opposition could win one seat, though.

While the NDA is predicted to win 10-12 seats in Himanta Biswa Sarma's Assam, the I.N.D.I.A bloc is unlikely to fare significantly since last time, with 2-4 seats predicted in its favour. 

[DISCLAIMER: Current survey findings and projections are based on CVoter Exit Poll / Post Poll personal interviews conducted on polling day and after polling day among 18+ adults statewide, all confirmed voters, details of which are mentioned right below the projections as of today. The data is weighted to the known demographic profile of the States. Sometimes the table figures do not sum to 100 due to the effects of rounding. Our final data file has Socio-Economic profile within +/- 1% of the Demographic profile of the State. We believe this will give the closest possible trends. The sample spread is across all Assembly segments in the poll bound state. MoE is +/- 3% at macro level and +/- 5% at micro level VOTE SHARE projection with 95% Confidence interval.]