Chhattisgarh Opinion Poll 2023: Congress, BJP Likely To Have A Close Contest? Know Survey Findings

ABP Cvoter Survey 2023: According to the opinion poll, it is a tough contest between the ruling Congress and the BJP.

Chhattisgarh ABP CVoter Opinion Poll 2023: As the Election Commission announced the dates of elections in five states, ABP and CVoter reached out to the voters in Chhattisgarh to assess the mood as they prepare to vote.

Chhattisgarh will go to polls on November 7 and November 17. The election will be held in two phases and votes will be counted on December 3, along with the other four states - Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, Telangana, and Mizoram

The opinion poll showed that it is going to be a tough political battle between the ruling Congress and the BJP. Out of the total 90 seats, the saffron party can secure 39 to 45 seats, while the Congress is expected to win 45 to 51 seats. Others are projected to win only 0 to 2 seats.

According to the ABP-CVoter survey, the ruling Congress can gain over 45% vote share in an upswing of 2.2%, followed by the BJP at 43% in an upswing of over 10% vote share. Others are projected to secure 11% of votes, a decline of nearly 13% of votes.

In the 2018 Assembly polls, the Indian National Congress (INC) registered a sweeping victory against the Bharatiya Janata Party's 15 years of rule in the state. The Congress had won 68 out of the 90 assembly seats and the BJP, on the other hand, faced a significant setback, securing only 15 seats. Following their sweeping victory, Congress formed the government in Chhattisgarh under the leadership of Chief Minister Bhupesh Baghel.

The Arvind Kejriwal-led Aam Aadmi Party is also eyeing electoral gain in the state. AAP's state unit chief Komal Hupendi and prominent farmer leader Tejram Vidrohi have been fielded from the Bhanupratappur (ST) and Rajim constituencies respectively. In the previous Chhattisgarh Assembly election in 2018, the AAP contested 85 out of 90 seats but did not secure any victories.  

[Disclaimer: Current survey findings and projections are based on CVoter Pre Poll personal interviews (Face to Face) conducted among 18+ adults statewide, all confirmed voters (sample size 11,928). The data is weighted to the known demographic profile of the States. Sometimes the table figures do not sum to 100 due to the effects of rounding. Our final data file has Socio-Economic profile within +/- 1% of the Demographic profile of the State. We believe this will give the closest possible trends. The sample spread is across all Assembly segments in the poll bound state. MoE is +/- 3% at macro level and +/- 5% at micro level VOTE SHARE projection with 95% Confidence interval. ]