Campaigning for the first phase of the Bihar Assembly Election 2025 has ended today,ahead of voting on 121 seats. The final verdict on who forms the next government-NDA or Mahagathbandhan, will be known on November 14. However, multiple pre-poll surveys have offered a glimpse of the possible outcome, indicating a likely edge for the NDA alliance.
POLSTRAT-People’s Insight Survey Predicts NDA Lead
According to the POLSTRAT-People’s Insight opinion poll, the NDA could secure 133-143 seats, while the Mahagathbandhan is projected to win 93-102 seats.
Seat Projection:
- NDA: 133-143
- Mahagathbandhan: 93-102
- Jan Suraaj: 1-3
- AIMIM: 2-3
- Others: 0-2
Party-Wise Seat Estimates
Within the NDA:
- BJP: 70-72
- JD(U): 53-56
- HAM: 0-2
- LJP (Ram Vilas): 10-12
- RLM: 0-1
Within The Mahagathbandhan:
- RJD: 69-72
- Congress: 10-13
- Left: 14-15
- VIP: 1-2
- IIP: 0-1
Vote Share Estimate:
- NDA: 45%
- Mahagathbandhan: 39%
- Others: 16%
Chanakya Strategies Seat Projection:
- NDA: 128-134
- Mahagathbandhan: 102-108
- Others: 5-9
Both surveys indicate that the NDA is well-positioned to form the next government in Bihar, though the final outcome will be decided when votes are counted on November 14.