New Delhi: The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is expected to see significant gains in its seat count in the upcoming Lok Sabha elections West Bengal but it is Mamata Banerjee’s Trinamool Congress which will yet again take the lion’s share, ABP News-Nielsen’s latest Opinion Poll has predicted.


The survey has revealed the Trinamool Congress to get 31 of the 42 seats in the state. The figure is less than what it had achieved in 2014 polls. The BJP may win 8 seats which is four times more than what it won in the last election.

The survey has found that the Congress will win three seats one more than what it had achieved in 2014 general elections in the state.

According to the opinion poll, TMC is projected to sweep all seven seats in state capital Kolkata. Even in the Naxal-affected regions, the TMC is pegged to win all four seats.

The CPM which was a formidable force in the state for almost two decades, is not expected to bag any seat and appears to be completely obliterated. The survey findings also depict that Mamata Banerjee is no doubt the tallest leader in the state.

Despite the BJP recording its best-ever tally in the state, that may not be enough to outmuscle the TMC.

In the previous Lok Sabha polls, TMC stomped to victory by snatching 34 out of the allotted 42 seats with a 39.4% vote share. The CPI (M) looked as a pushover getting two seats with the BJP also looking out of sorts with two.

The TMC not only made a clean sweep in its stronghold in south Bengal districts, winning 30 out of 31 seats.

Congress managed to get 4 parliamentary seats. Congress's vote share in the state was 9.6 per cent.

The Left recorded its worst performance since Independence winning two seats with 23 per cent vote share.

The BJP bagged 17.06 percent vote share with two seats. The BJP's vote share jumped by 11.14 per cent due to Narendra Modi wave.

The Lok Sabha elections in 42 constituencies of the state this year will take place in seven phases from April 11 to May 19. Akin to Bengal, Bihar and Uttar Pradesh will also undergo voting in seven phases.

Here’s the seat-wise break-up:

Cooch Behar – TMC

Alipurduar - BJP

Jalpaiguri - TMC

Raiganj - BJP

Balurghat -BJP

Bahrampur - Congress

Murshidabad - TMC

Krishnanagar - BJP

Ranaghat - TMC

Bangaon - BJP

Barrackpore - BJP

Barasat - TMC

Basirhat - TMC

Jaynagar - TMC

Mathurapur - TMC

Srirampur - TMC

Hoogly - TMC

Arambag - TMC

Tamluk - TMC

Kanthi -TMC

Ghatal - TMC

Midnapore - TMC

Bishnupur - TMC

Bardhaman (East) – TMC

Bardhaman-Durgapur – TMC

Bolpur -TMC

Kolkata: All 7 seats

Kolkata South -TMC

Kolkata North-TMC

Howrah -TMC

Uluberia -TMC

Diamond Harbour -TMC

Jadhavpur -TMC

Dum Dum-TMC

 

Naxal affected regions:

Jhargram  - TMC

Purulia – TMC

Bankura - TMC

Birbhum - TMC

Major cities:

Darjeeling - BJP

Asansol - BJP

Jangipur - Congress

Malda (North) - TMC

Malda (South) – Congress