RBI MPC: Three-Day Monetary Policy Meet Begins Amid Global Uncertainty

RBI MPC: The meeting, which will conclude on October 9, will focus on whether the central bank will maintain the repo rate at its current level of 6.50 per cent

RBI MPC: The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is set to kick off its three-day monetary policy (MPC) meeting on Monday. The meeting, which will conclude on October 9, will focus on whether the central bank will maintain the repo rate at its current level of 6.50 per cent, a stance it has held steady for nine consecutive meetings.

The RBI's cautious approach, aimed at balancing inflation control with economic growth, has kept the repo rate unchanged for an extended period. The outcome of this meeting is closely watched, particularly in light of the US Federal Reserve's recent decision to cut interest rates by 50 basis points after holding rates steady for eight straight meetings.

Key Factors for the RBI's Decision

The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC), chaired by RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das, is expected to weigh several factors before making its decision. Key considerations include inflationary trends, global economic uncertainties, and domestic growth prospects. Inflation, particularly in food and fuel prices, remains a significant challenge.

Recent data from the Ministry of Statistics & Programme Implementation revealed that India's consumer price inflation stood at 3.65 per cent in August, which falls within the RBI's target band. However, food inflation remains higher, at 5.65 per cent, exceeding the RBI's medium-term target of 4 per cent.

External Pressures on RBI's Stance

Global factors, such as the rising price of crude oil due to tensions in West Asia, may also influence the RBI's decision. A surge in oil prices could prompt the central bank to reconsider its current position on the repo rate.

Changes in the RBI's MPC

Notably, this meeting will see three new members participating in the MPC. The new external members include Professor Ram Singh, Director of the Delhi School of Economics; economist Saugata Bhattacharya; and Dr. Nagesh Kumar, Director and Chief Executive of the Institute for Studies in Industrial Development. These appointments bring fresh perspectives to the committee as it navigates the current economic landscape.

The outcome of the meeting will be closely monitored for indications of the RBI's future monetary policy direction amid growing economic uncertainties.