Bihar Exit Polls No-Shocker - Nitish Kumar To Be Crowned CM For 10th Time In Bihar?

Polling for Bihar Assembly elections 2025 has officially concluded. Exit polls indicate a strong performance by NDA, signaling a potential sweep in the state.

Background

Bihar Election Exit Poll 2025 Live: With the two-phase voting in the 243-seat Bihar Assembly election now complete, all eyes are on the forthcoming exit polls, which will provide early indicators of how major alliances fare, even though the final count on 14 November will be decisive. The National Democratic Alliance (NDA) and the Mahagathbandhan are locked in a high-stakes contest. The NDA, led by the Bharatiya Janata Party and its state partner Janata Dal (United), has set an ambitious target of 160+ seats in the 243-member house. A higher voter turnout in Phase 1 may signal a heightened mood and increased engagement among women, youth and first-time voters. Observers note that traditional fault-lines such as caste, youth unemployment and women’s participation remain central to the results. It will be interesting to see if the NDA can achieve its 160+ seat target, or will the Mahagathbandhan make significant gains despite the challenge?Can emerging players and newer politics (such as independent regional formations) upset the established two-bloc dynamic?What Determines Accuracy of Exit Polls?The reliability of an exit poll depends on several crucial factors that influence how closely it reflects the actual election outcome.Sample Size: The bigger the sample, the more dependable the results. A large and diverse pool of respondents helps minimize errors and ensures that different regions, communities, and voter groups are fairly represented.Question Design: The way questions are worded plays a key role in maintaining neutrality. Questions must be unbiased and straightforward to avoid influencing respondents’ answers. Even subtle wording differences can skew results in favor of one party or alliance.Geographical Coverage: Broader coverage across constituencies and demographic segments improves accuracy. Polls that only focus on select regions may fail to capture the full picture of voter sentiment.Political analysts point out that neutral and carefully timed surveys, with questions that don’t hint at a preferred outcome, are the most likely to produce credible results.

11/11/2025 20:17:47

P-Mark Exit Poll Predicts NDA Lead, Jan Suraj To Win 1-4 Seats

P-Mark Exit Poll for Bihar Assembly elections 2025 forecasts a clear lead for NDA, projecting between 142 and 162 seats.

Mahagathbandhan is expected to secure 80-98 seats, while the Jan Suraj Party (JSP) may win 1-4 seats, and other parties are likely to get 0-3 seats. The poll highlights the NDA’s continued dominance in the state, with smaller parties like Jan Suraj managing limited inroads.

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11/11/2025 20:16:14

Journo Mirror Exit Poll Predicts Mahagathbandhan Win In Bihar

Journo Mirror Exit poll for Bihar Assembly elections 2025 has taken many by surprise with its contrasting forecast. Unlike most other exit polls that show NDA in the lead, this one projects a possible victory for Mahagathbandhan, predicting 130-140 seats for it.

NDA is estimated to secure 100-110 seats, while other parties may win 3-7 seats. The poll stands out for its unexpected projection of a Mahagathbandhan-led government in Bihar.

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11/11/2025 19:39:08

NDA Projected 135-150 Seats By JVC

JVC Exit Poll for Bihar Assembly elections 2025 projects a strong lead for NDA, estimating 135-150 seats for the ruling alliance.

Mahagathbandhan is predicted to win 88-103 seats, while other parties may secure 3-6 seats. The poll indicates a competitive contest in the state, but NDA appears to have a clear upper hand as voters await the official results.

11/11/2025 19:36:53

People's Insight Exit Poll: NDA Projected 133-148 Seats

People's Insight exit poll for Bihar Assembly elections 2025 shows NDA leading with a projected 133-148 seats.

Within the alliance, BJP is expected to win 68-72 seats, the JDU 55-60 seats, LJP (R) 9-12 seats, HAM 1-2 seats, and RLM 0-2 seats.

Mahagathbandhan is forecasted to secure 87-102 seats, with RJD winning 65-72 seats, Congress 9-13 seats, Left parties 11-14 seats, and VIP 2-3 seats. The poll suggests a competitive race, though NDA maintains a clear advantage.

11/11/2025 19:34:25

Matrize-IANS Exit Poll: NDA Set To Win 147-167 Seats

Matrize-IANS exit poll for Bihar Assembly elections 2025 projects a strong showing for NDA, estimating 147-167 seats for the alliance.

Breaking it down, BJP is expected to win 65-73 seats, JDU 67-75 seats, LJP (R) 7-9 seats, HAM 4-5 seats, and RLM 1-2 seats.

Meanwhile, Mahagathbandhan is predicted to secure 70-90 seats, with RJD taking 53-58 seats, Congress 10-12 seats, Left parties 9-14 seats, and other smaller parties 1-14 seats. The poll reflects a clear edge for NDA as the state heads toward the final results.

11/11/2025 19:27:43

JD(U) Thanks Bihar Voters

JD(U) on X: A heartfelt thank you to the people of Bihar for participating in the elections. By exercising your right to vote, every citizen has played a crucial role in shaping a progressive and developed Bihar. Your involvement reflects a shared commitment to a brighter and better future for the state.

11/11/2025 19:12:45

Nitish Kumar To Be Crowned CM For 10th Time In Bihar?

Exit Polls suggest a decisive advantage for NDA in Bihar Assembly elections 2025, hinting that Nitish Kumar may secure his 10th term as Chief Minister.

With projections showing NDA leading by a comfortable margin over Mahagathbandhan, political observers are closely watching whether the veteran leader will continue his long-standing tenure in the state.

11/11/2025 19:06:19

PRAJA Poll Predicts NDA 186 Seats, Grand Alliance 50 In Bihar

PRAJA Poll Analytics exit poll for Bihar Assembly elections 2025 projects a decisive lead for NDA, estimating 186 seats. Mahagathbandhan is expected to win 50 seats, while other parties and independents may secure 7 seats.

11/11/2025 19:01:07

TIF Exit Poll: NDA Projected 145-163 Seats, Mahagathbandhan 76-95

According to the TIF exit poll for Bihar Assembly elections 2025, NDA is projected to win 145-163 seats, while Mahagathbandhan may secure 76-95 seats, and other parties are expected to get 3-6 seats.

Breaking it down further within the NDA, BJP is likely to win 64-71 seats, JDU 64-71 seats, LJP-R 12-14 seats, HAM 3-5 seats, and RLM 1-3 seats.

11/11/2025 18:55:20

Poll Diary Exit Poll predicts 184-209 seats for NDA

As per Poll Diary, NDA maintains a strong lead in exit polls for Bihar Assembly elections 2025, with a projected 184-209 seats. The Mahagathbandhan trails with an estimated 32-49 seats, while other parties and independents may capture 1-5 seats.

Seat Projection:

NDA: 184-209

Mahagathbandhan: 32-49

Others: 1-5

11/11/2025 18:50:51

POLSTRAT Exit Poll Predicts Lead For NDA

POLSTRAT exit poll predicts a lead for NDA in Bihar Assembly elections 2025, estimating the ruling alliance could win 133–148 seats. The Mahagathbandhan is projected to secure 87–102 seats, while other parties and independents may get 3–5 seats.

The results indicate a competitive race, but NDA appears to hold a clear edge as voters await the official outcome.

Seat Projection:

NDA: 133–148

Mahagathbandhan: 87–102

11/11/2025 19:41:44

Chanakya Strategies projects 130-138 seats for NDA

Exit poll by Chanakya Strategies projects a lead for the NDA in Bihar Assembly elections 2025, with an estimated 130-138 seats. Mahagathbandhan is expected to win around 100-108 seats, while other parties and independents may secure 3-5 seats.

11/11/2025 18:41:07

NDA secured 48% of votes

According to MATRIZE-IANS exit poll for Bihar Assembly elections 2025, NDA secured 48% of the votes, while Mahagathbandhan received 37%. Other parties and independent candidates accounted for the remaining 15% of the vote share.

11/11/2025 18:36:14

RJD expected to win 53-58 seats

According to Bihar Exit Poll projections, RJD is expected to win 53-58 seats, Congress may secure 10-12 seats, the Left parties are projected to get 9-14 seats, and the VIP could claim 1-4 seats in Bihar Assembly elections 2025.

11/11/2025 18:32:40

NDA Projected To Win 147-167 Seats, Mahagathbandhan 70-90

According to Bihar exit poll projections for Bihar Assembly elections 2025, NDA is expected to secure 147–167 seats, while the Mahagathbandhan may win 70–90 seats. Other parties and independent candidates are projected to claim around 2–6 seats.

11/11/2025 18:29:58

Bihar Exit Poll 2025: Voting Ends In Bihar

Bihar Elections 2025 have reached the end of their final phase of voting! All eyes now turn to the exit polls - have a look at first insights into which party or alliance is likely to form the next government in the state.

11/11/2025 18:20:04

10 Minutes To Go: First Bihar Exit Polls Incoming

The first exit poll trends for Bihar Assembly elections 2025 to be announced in just 10 minutes. Political parties, candidates, and voters across the state are eagerly waiting for these early projections, which will provide the first indication of which alliance - NDA or Mahagathbandhan - could potentially form the government.

11/11/2025 18:13:18

Bihar Exit Poll 2025: NDA vs Mahagathbandhan

Women played an active role in Bihar Assembly elections. Within NDA, BJP and JDU each fielded 13 women candidates, while LJP (Ram Vilas) nominated 5, and the HAM put forward 2. In comparison, the Grand Alliance (Mahagathbandhan) had 23 women candidates from the RJD, 5 from the Congress, and 1 each from the VIP, CPI(ML), and IIP.

11/11/2025 18:02:48

Bihar Exit Poll 2025: 67.14% Voter Turnout In Bihar As Of 5 PM

As of 5 PM, voter turnout in Bihar Assembly elections 2025 has reached 67.14%, reflecting strong participation across the state. Election officials report that voters have turned out in large numbers in several constituencies, signaling an engaged electorate ahead of the final phase of polling.

11/11/2025 17:57:30

Bihar Exit Poll 2025: Projections to Be Released

Exit poll projections for Bihar Assembly elections will start coming in from 6:30 PM, shortly after the conclusion of second phase of voting in the state.

11/11/2025 17:54:05

Bihar Exit Poll 2025: Candidate Overview

A total of 2,616 candidates contested in the Bihar Assembly elections. Among them, 242 candidates represented NDA, while 251 candidates were fielded by Mahagathbandhan.

11/11/2025 17:48:00

Bihar Exit Poll 2025: First Trends Expected To Come In At 6:30 PM

Voting for Bihar Assembly elections will wrap up at 6:00 PM. The first exit poll trends are expected to start coming in half an hour later, at 6:30 PM.

11/11/2025 17:44:31

Bihar Exit Poll 2025: Bihar BJP Co-In-Charge Hails Voters

Bihar BJP Co-in-Charge and MP Deepak Prakash praised electorate after Bihar Assembly elections, saying, “I want to congratulate the voters of Bihar, especially sisters, mothers, and the youth. The people of Bihar are alert and aware. Their confidence in the work done by PM Modi and their trust in Nitish Kumar have translated into votes for NDA."

11/11/2025 17:41:54

Bihar Exit Poll 2025: Mahagathbandhan Seat Count

Bihar Assembly Elections 2020: Mahagathbandhan Seat Count

In the 2020 Bihar Assembly elections, the Mahagathbandhan included RJD, Congress, CPI(ML), CPI, and CPI(M). The seat distribution within the alliance was as follows:

RJD: 75 seats

Congress: 19 seats

CPI(ML): 12 seats

CPI: 2 seats

CPI(M): 2 seats

11/11/2025 17:29:32

Bihar Exit Poll 2025: Ex-Rajasthan CM Comments on Bihar Elections

Congress leader and former Rajasthan CM Ashok Gehlot commented on the ongoing Bihar Assembly elections, calling it a historic polling exercise.

Speaking to ANI, he said, “Bihar is witnessing unprecedented voter turnout in this election. The NDA distributed Rs 10,000 to every woman, which is unusual during the model code of conduct period. We hope women will vote independently, and we expect the Mahagathbandhan to secure victory.”

11/11/2025 17:05:45

Bihar Exit Poll 2025: RJD Targets Nitish Kumar Over NDA's CM Choice

RJD took to X to criticize Nitish Kumar and NDA alliance. A post from the party read:

"Even as the final phase of voting continues, BJP and LJP have yet to officially announce Nitish Kumar as their Chief Ministerial candidate. Why waste your vote on an NDA plagued by internal conflicts, conspiracies, and power struggles? Secure a brighter future for your children by supporting a #Tejashwi_government that promises jobs and opportunities!"

11/11/2025 16:58:56

Bihar Exit Poll 2025: Shakeel Ahmad Khan Predicts Mahagathbandhan Victory

Katihar (Bihar): Congress Legislature Party leader and Kadwa Assembly candidate Shakeel Ahmad Khan expressed confidence in the opposition ahead of the Bihar Assembly elections.

Speaking to ANI, he said, “The current government will be replaced, and a new administration led by Tejashwi Yadav as Chief Minister will take charge. The Mahagathbandhan is set to gain enough seats to form the government. The BJP will struggle to retain power, as the people of Bihar have faced unemployment, migration, and an economic slowdown for the past 20 years. There is also widespread corruption in the state.”

11/11/2025 16:54:49

Bihar Exit Poll 2025: BJP's Sangeeta Kumari Confident of NDA Victory

BJP candidate from the Mohania constituency, Sangeeta Kumari, expressed confidence in her party’s prospects ahead of Bihar Assembly elections. Speaking to PTI, she said, “There is no way the Mahagathbandhan will form the government in Bihar. The people support the NDA and are ready to give their mandate to Nitish Kumar.”

11/11/2025 16:40:41

Bihar Exit Poll 2025: Even 20-25 Seats Would Be Enough for RJD, Says Ram Kripal Yadav

BJP candidate from Danapur Assembly constituency, Ram Kripal Yadav, expressed confidence in his party’s performance as the second phase of Bihar Assembly Elections 2025 got underway on Tuesday.

“The first phase of voting has concluded successfully, and today’s polling will also be peaceful,” Yadav told reporters. “This time, too, Bihar will witness a record voter turnout,” he added.

Taking a swipe at the opposition, the BJP leader remarked, “If RJD manages to win even 20–25 seats, that will be enough for them.”

11/11/2025 16:30:24

Bihar Exit Poll 2025: District-Wise Voter Turnout in Second Phase

The second and final phase of Bihar Assembly Elections 2025 witnessed an enthusiastic response from voters across the state, with turnout figures showing strong participation in most districts.

According to data released by the Election Commission, voter turnout stood as follows:

West Champaran: 61.99%

East Champaran: 61.92%

Sheohar: 61.85%

Sitamarhi: 58.32%

Madhubani: 55.53%

Supaul: 62.02%

Araria: 59.80%

Kishanganj: 66.10%

Purnia: 64.22%

Katihar: 63.80%

Bhagalpur: 58.37%

Banka: 63.03%

Kaimur: 62.26%

Rohtas: 55.92%

Arwal: 58.26%

Jehanabad: 58.72%

Aurangabad: 60.59%

Gaya: 62.74%

Nawada: 53.17%

Jamui: 63.33%

11/11/2025 16:21:39

Bihar Exit Poll 2025: Bihar’s Political Stakes

The 2025 Bihar election is witnessing a fierce contest between major alliances. On one side, the BJP-JD(U)-LJP combine represents the NDA, while the RJD-Congress-VIP-CPI(ML) bloc is part of the INDIA alliance.

11/11/2025 16:18:32

Bihar Exit Poll 2025: Exit Poll results to be released after final round of voting

In multi-phase elections, exit poll results are released only after the final round of voting concludes - in this case, after 6:30 p.m. on November 11. While exit polls often give an early sense of voter sentiment, their accuracy can vary significantly from the actual results.

11/11/2025 16:17:00

Bihar Exit Poll 2025: What Are Exit Polls And How Do They Work?

Exit polls are surveys conducted immediately after voters cast their ballots. Polling agencies collect data from individuals as they leave voting booths, asking them which party or candidate they supported. This information is then compiled and analyzed to predict the likely outcome of the election.

11/11/2025 16:11:52

Bihar Exit Poll 2025: Official results to be declared on Friday

Once the voting process ends at 6:30 p.m. on November 11, various media outlets will release their exit poll projections, offering an early indication of which way the political winds might be blowing. The official results, however, will be declared on Friday, November 14.

11/11/2025 16:07:39

Bihar Exit Poll: Exit Polls to Be Released After Final Phase of Voting

Bihar Assembly Elections 2025 have entered their final stretch. The first phase of polling concluded on Thursday, November 6, and with the campaign period now over, preparations are underway for the second and final phase of voting scheduled for Tuesday, November 11. A total of 122 assembly constituencies will go to the polls in this round.